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Dr Ian Plummer

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Technical
Advanced Pegged Out Tactics

Scenario 2 - Discussion

Scenario 2Clips: U on 2-back, K peg, R rover, Y box.

K is 1 yard South of C2, U is 4 yards South of K, R is 4 yards South of H1 and has a lift. What should R do?

NC: Again, assume that if 5 to 20 player has rush to hoop, then game over.  So in this turn would leave R in a position where I could shoot at them next turn, perhaps on North boundary.  Difficult for them to wire both balls behind 1-back, and may be unlikely to leave wire behind 2-back... maybe.... Other options for UK?

SM: NC, you have U and K the wrong way around, so U has no rush. Nonetheless, with opportunities diminishing, I’d shoot from B-baulk. 13-yarder to win the game.

RB, SJ: Make a double from A baulk and shoot.

SP: 13 yarder for the game.  Depending on what the target looks like from where it lies, that could be playable as well. But I prefer the 13 yard shot over the 30 yard double.

TM: Shoot at U from B-baulk.

DK, JK: shoot at K from B-baulk

MM: Why not shoot at U? That will leave R south of U, so U will have a 4-5 yard take-off into a space of only 2x1 yards, needing a 30+ yard rush to hoop 4. If you shoot at K, U will have a tiny shot to get the same rush. 

JK: U is for 2-b, not 4. But my thinking as R is that I want to make sure I win if I hit, and shooting at K makes my croquet shot getting a rush to rover much easier. It is more of a marginal difference for U if R misses, since if he doesn't get a good rush to 2-b he can just roll to C4.

 

CC responds:

This is a much easier scenario to discuss. R has been successful in getting a lift for itself and now must take advantage by shooting. It has a 13 yarder at K, about a 14 yarder at U or a 29 yard double from A-Baulk at UK.

Let’s rule out the 29 yard double on the basis of it being clearly lower percentage than the 13 or 14 yarders and no more defensive.

Personally, I don’t think that there is a lot to choose in terms of defensiveness between shooting at U and K (I actually think K is marginally more defensive) and my preference is to take the shorter shot that makes it easiest for me to get a rush to rover.

Therefore, my line of play in scenario 2 is to shoot at K from B-baulk.

NC asked about my thoughts on the leave UK made and other options, I think the leave is very poor because it offers a short shot which R should finish from if it hits and which UK are unlikely to finish from. The "standard" leave in this scenario would be to leave U in C2 and have K anywhere between 6 and 10 yards South of C2. This means if opponent takes the shot at U, it is slightly more difficult to finish, but more importantly U will have a decent chance of a break. R is encouraged to take a 16 yarder at K which is likely to lead to further play if missed, but is tricky to finish from if hit. R may be happy hitting K, splitting it to towards C3 and taking position at rover.

 

RF:

In scenario 2 Totally agree with CC and JK. Can see a shot at U missing by enough on the left that U can hit K, or the shot nicking U on the right so the more difficult take-off you have guaranteed yourself by shooting at U becomes a 7 yard one rather than a 5 yard one.

 

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Updated 28.i.16
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